Paul Allen — Reporter, Bloomberg (4 trade ideas)

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Date Ticker Direction Thesis Source
Feb 16, 2026 WATCH Warner Bros. Discovery is reportedly considering reopening sales talks with Paramount to potentially topple a deal with Netflix. If WBD enters a bidding war or strategic merger talk, it introduces volatility and potential arbitrage premiums for Paramount shareholders, while potentially weighing on WBD's balance sheet sentiment. WATCH for deal confirmation. Regulatory hurdles for consolidation in the media space are high; deal talks may fall apart. Bloomberg Markets
Bitcoin Traders Brace for $60K Shock as Liqui...
Feb 16, 2026
KHC /UA
AVOID Kraft Heinz reported a net loss and is prioritizing capital preservation. Under Armour cited lower revenue and supply chain difficulties. Both companies are signaling fundamental distress—KHC on the bottom line and UA on the top line/operations. In a market seeking "high quality" growth, these legacy consumer names are becoming "dead money" or value traps. AVOID. Deep value investors might step in if the dividend yields become attractive enough to set a floor. Bloomberg Markets
Bitcoin Traders Brace for $60K Shock as Liqui...
Feb 16, 2026
BSL
LONG BlueScope reported earnings and announced a $310 million share buyback and dividends, despite rejecting a takeover offer last month. The company is aggressively returning capital to shareholders (buybacks + dividends) while winding down peak capital spend. This signals management confidence in cash flow and provides a floor for the stock price following the rejected bid. LONG (Capital return thesis). Global steel demand slowdown or rising energy costs. Bloomberg Markets
Japan Posts Anemic Growth as Takaichi Eyes Sp...
Feb 12, 2026
GDX
LONG Australian miners (Northern Star) reported 41% profit increases due to soaring gold prices. Gold miners are currently printing cash due to the disconnect between fixed costs and record spot prices. Miners are a leveraged play on the high gold price environment. Drop in spot gold prices or rising energy costs squeezing margins. Bloomberg Markets
US House Defies Trump on Canada Tariffs | The...